Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 352.390707 402.263819 458.597097 527.323400 609.421941 704.995136 825.618094
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 279.616005 343.517332 422.796343 529.895852 673.164912 861.692486 1134.551055
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 235.520351 302.762959 391.246147 518.952534 703.294264 967.577289 1390.453702
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 208.669916 278.104566 373.909959 519.938415 744.758478 1092.108693 1700.787843
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 184.777651 253.344426 351.579373 508.065641 762.166504 1180.469254 1974.268969
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 168.163298 236.457562 337.661950 505.500494 791.871998 1292.627658 2320.104128
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 149.272348 213.901369 312.145279 480.169202 778.110770 1324.644053 2519.754350
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 143.598888 210.661037 315.902837 503.058167 851.796997 1533.058171 3156.705728
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 140.013262 210.147655 323.701324 533.633814 944.977768 1802.749191 4044.926448
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 131.649597 201.015209 316.007419 535.020351 981.289463 1961.516017 4725.789185
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 121.789385 188.494440 301.165723 520.934869 983.199759 2043.065070 5230.513057
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 113.093527 177.208668 287.377008 507.046205 983.013198 2119.593087 5758.052511
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 109.237207 174.104798 288.246372 522.964459 1053.408173 2396.757321 7115.880847
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 103.838412 167.869747 282.810595 525.440360 1094.007824 2610.212853 8405.526440
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 97.328180 159.112163 271.778963 514.616641 1100.539719 2730.576619 9420.718371
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 92.848276 153.675033 266.553160 515.591866 1136.693788 2950.907707 11052.649825
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 87.348417 145.952307 256.184036 503.842715 1137.794402 3063.114967 12279.029280
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 83.311496 140.674366 250.197905 501.304177 1163.220413 3265.117731 14182.457281
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 77.308430 131.295877 235.232007 476.233838 1122.071563 3225.587727 14683.784022
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 76.443965 131.674158 240.181090 498.887154 1221.240311 3730.075030 19206.486918
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 76.227137 133.275993 247.798482 529.143847 1350.739031 4416.913404 26310.713408
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 73.485805 129.696043 244.083475 530.515811 1391.577196 4761.348643 31383.633885
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 69.687605 123.769557 234.838836 516.577940 1380.454490 4874.249581 34544.549153